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No rational decision behind buying, selling

No rational decision behind buying, selling

Investors always want to know the reason for why the market and / or currency went up or down.  If we can explain it then we think we can control it, which makes us feel a lot better than the

mw@dmin September 13, 2018September 13, 2018 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Synthesise the noise rationally

Synthesise the noise rationally

I received an email from a client titled “Panic Attack”.   The gist of the concern being land expropriation and more specifically news flow iro land invasions in Randburg in which several farms were supposedly taken by force.   When I googled

mw@dmin August 30, 2018August 30, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

What does money really mean to you?

What does money really mean to you?

Establishing if you have enough for retirement is a fairly simple exercise of determining how much income you need to fund your lifestyle and then calculating how much capital is required to provide for this income using an assumed rate

mw@dmin August 16, 2018August 16, 2018 Retirement Read more

This is just the darkest hour before dawn

This is just the darkest hour before dawn

Our politicians will do well to remember that economics drives politics and not the other way around, unless of course you are a dictatorship.   Just ask Marie Antoinette what happens when you run out of bread or was it cake….

mw@dmin August 2, 2018August 2, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Think before changing proven strategies

Think before changing proven strategies

The most important factor in successful investment is your behaviour and it’s the hardest thing to manage, because it is usually driven by irrational thinking and the failure to learn from past mistakes. No matter how much evidence is provided

mw@dmin July 19, 2018July 19, 2018 Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

A more sustainable provision for retirement

A more sustainable provision for retirement

Living Annuities are currently under the spotlight and likely to be blamed for poor retirement outcomes.  However, this is like blaming traffic fatalities on the invention of the motor vehicle. Taking a step back living annuities have all but replaced

mw@dmin June 8, 2018June 8, 2018 Investment Strategies, Retirement Read more

Assess investment risk in retirement planning

Assess investment risk in retirement planning

The three risks underlying retirement planning is longevity, inflation and investment risk.   As a retiree you have no control over your longevity and the inflation risk.  If only we knew when our time was up planning would be easy.  Just

mw@dmin May 24, 2018May 24, 2018 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Retirement Read more

Inflation within target, but be cautious

Inflation within target, but be cautious

Why does nobody believe the published inflation rate?   I will attempt to answer this question by explaining how inflation is calculated.   The inflation rate refers to the annual average rate of increase in prices represented by a basket

mw@dmin May 10, 2018May 10, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Personal Finances Read more

Thinking long-term pays dividends

Thinking long-term pays dividends

If you are disappointed with returns from your investment portfolio over the last quarter, then that probably means you have a well-diversified strategy with plenty of exposure offshore.  If that’s the case, then you shouldn’t worry too much about the

mw@dmin April 26, 2018April 26, 2018 Investment Risk, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Price mustn’t be confused with value

Price mustn’t be confused with value

The strength of a countries currency can be viewed as a proxy for the price of the  country.  Just like with any investment you must differentiate between price and value.  Price is what you pay and value if what you

mw@dmin April 12, 2018April 12, 2018 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more
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