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Market behaviour

Here’s looking forward to the mirror image of 2020 for 2021

Here’s looking forward to the mirror image of 2020 for 2021

Driving to Cape Town on the N2 last week I witnessed a young lady come to near standstill as she turned her head around to look-in her back window in order to check on approaching traffic before changing lanes.  This

mw@dmin December 10, 2020December 10, 2020 Investment Strategies, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Covid-19 causes K-shaped crisis

Covid-19 causes K-shaped crisis

The recent COVID-19 crisis should be a reminder that sh…t happens and the importance of stress testing your personal finances.  The shape of the recovery is best described by the letter K  with the upward sloping arm of the K

mw@dmin November 17, 2020November 17, 2020 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Better returns over the next five years

Better returns over the next five years

As it turns out my crystal ball really works.   Unfortunately, I only realise that now after going through all my articles written in 2013 when the crystal ball correctly predicted the lousy returns of the last 5 years.  Of course,

mw@dmin October 29, 2020October 29, 2020 Hello world, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Wholesale buy-in to Covid-19 “spook story” is costly

Wholesale buy-in to Covid-19 “spook story” is costly

I would much rather be writing about something other than Covid-19, but this is clearly the only story in town.  I use the word story purposely not to make light of the pandemic, but as a play on the word

mw@dmin September 3, 2020September 3, 2020 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

The meaning of capitulation

The meaning of capitulation

The investment industry uses some very descriptive words in describing investor behaviour and one of these is capitulation, this is the point when investors throw in the towel. Throwing in the towel is boxing speak for give-up. Picture the towel

mw@dmin March 19, 2020March 19, 2020 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Warning lights lead to change

Warning lights lead to change

This week’s article is an extract from a reply to a client’s question on whether he should reduce his share exposure or move to a balanced portfolio strategy given several “warning lights” on the horizon.   The easiest way to

mw@dmin March 5, 2020March 5, 2020 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Damned if you don’t … price vs value

Damned if you don’t … price vs value

With the US stock market now entering its 11th year in a bull market, it is probably a good idea to reflect on some old age wisdom, which is nicely explained by the following quote: Bull markets are born on

mw@dmin February 20, 2020February 20, 2020 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Look for long-term investors

Look for long-term investors

The debate on active vs. passive investment strategies is never ending. If you google active vs. passive there are tens and thousands of articles on the topic. For less informed readers, passive investment strategies refer to tracker or index funds,

mw@dmin October 3, 2019October 3, 2019 Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Trade wars lead to MAED

Trade wars lead to MAED

The cold war between Russia and the USA was premised on a critical acronym known as a MAD, which stood for “Mutual Assured Destruction” in reference to the nuclear arsenal of each country and that any hot war between them

mw@dmin September 5, 2019September 5, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Recency Bias can cost you

Recency Bias can cost you

Investing in the JSE All Share Index has become a swear word as the herd flee our shores in favour of investing offshore and it is hard to make a case for investing locally given all the bad news and

mw@dmin August 8, 2019August 8, 2019 Investment Risk, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more
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