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Investor Behaviour

Do you trust robots for advice?

Do you trust robots for advice?

In a world of accelerating disruption where technology as enabler allows a person to build a billion-dollar business from their parent’s basement even the most established business models are no longer secure. The disruptors quickly become the incumbents at risk

mw@dmin June 27, 2019June 27, 2019 Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour Read more

Storytelling can be misleading

Storytelling can be misleading

In the bestselling book Homo Sapiens Yuval Harari theorized that the success of humankind can be directly ascribed to our ability to tells stories, which we could all believe in and collectively work towards, thus achieving as a common goal.

mw@dmin June 13, 2019June 13, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Selling equities and investing in cash now is rash, wait patiently

Selling equities and investing in cash now is rash, wait patiently

The doldrums are noted for calm periods around the equator when the winds disappear trapping sail-powered boats for days or even weeks.   There are many stories told of sailors going completely crazy while desperately hoping for the wind whilst

mw@dmin May 16, 2019May 16, 2019 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Investment yarns result in high prices and lousy returns

Investment yarns result in high prices and lousy returns

According the author of the award-winning book Homo Sapiens the success of humankind over other species came from the ability to work together and the secret to this togetherness came from the ability to tell stories, which we could all

mw@dmin March 7, 2019March 7, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Investing; Simple but never Easy

Investing; Simple but never Easy

The illustration below explains how to calculate the expected return from a share or the overall market, which is represented by the straight upward sloping line in the chart and is simply the current dividend yield + expected real (above

mw@dmin February 7, 2019February 7, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Make room for ambiguity too

Make room for ambiguity too

As investors we hate ambiguity, we want certainty, which is why we dislike the idea of randomness.    We want our advisors / managers to know exactly what is going on.  Financial experts must speak confidently and explain what is driving

mw@dmin January 24, 2019January 24, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

My crystal ball predicts far better returns for the next five years

My crystal ball predicts far better returns for the next five years

As it turns out my crystal ball really works.   Unfortunately, I only realise that now after going through all my articles written in 2013 when I correctly predicted the lousy returns of the last 5 years.  Of course, nobody wanted

mw@dmin December 6, 2018December 6, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

The share prices aren’t irrational, the investors are

The share prices aren’t irrational, the investors are

When the stock market behaves like a yoyo it’s good to remind yourself of what a share price really is and that is a daily offer from someone to buy and / or sell you a business.  If you are

mw@dmin November 22, 2018November 22, 2018 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Study shows SA globally misconstrued

Study shows SA globally misconstrued

The World Economic Forum published research, which shows SA to have the highest misperception score in the world in respect of people’s incorrect perception of what is going on versus reality.   Like any statistic there is a risk of

mw@dmin November 8, 2018November 8, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Now, don’t develop hindsight bias

Now, don’t develop hindsight bias

Don’t congratulate yourself or berate yourself too much your choices are half chance.  This is one of those great wisdoms of life, which can be applied to every aspect of your daily living including your investment successes and failures.  

mw@dmin October 25, 2018October 25, 2018 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Uncategorized Read more
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