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Market behaviour

Think before changing proven strategies

Think before changing proven strategies

The most important factor in successful investment is your behaviour and it’s the hardest thing to manage, because it is usually driven by irrational thinking and the failure to learn from past mistakes. No matter how much evidence is provided

mw@dmin July 19, 2018July 19, 2018 Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Inflation within target, but be cautious

Inflation within target, but be cautious

Why does nobody believe the published inflation rate?   I will attempt to answer this question by explaining how inflation is calculated.   The inflation rate refers to the annual average rate of increase in prices represented by a basket

mw@dmin May 10, 2018May 10, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Personal Finances Read more

Thinking long-term pays dividends

Thinking long-term pays dividends

If you are disappointed with returns from your investment portfolio over the last quarter, then that probably means you have a well-diversified strategy with plenty of exposure offshore.  If that’s the case, then you shouldn’t worry too much about the

mw@dmin April 26, 2018April 26, 2018 Investment Risk, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Price mustn’t be confused with value

Price mustn’t be confused with value

The strength of a countries currency can be viewed as a proxy for the price of the  country.  Just like with any investment you must differentiate between price and value.  Price is what you pay and value if what you

mw@dmin April 12, 2018April 12, 2018 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

US rate hikes won’t affect our ‘Ramaphoria’ dazzle

US rate hikes won’t affect our ‘Ramaphoria’ dazzle

A while ago I wrote an article trying to explain why lower interest rates should drive up asset prices.  I quite sure you won’t remember the article as you probably fell asleep while reading it. The article explained how future

mw@dmin March 15, 2018March 15, 2018 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

You have negligible control over markets, so control your emotions

You have negligible control over markets, so control your emotions

At the risk of committing career suicide I would like to admit the following.  I have no idea the affect Trump will have on our share market over the next few months……I can hear the response “What! You don’t know.

mw@dmin March 1, 2018March 1, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Financial advice as clear as mud!

Financial advice as clear as mud!

The following is an extract from client feedback written for an offshore client invested in a portfolio of multi-asset global mutual funds, which I feel touches on some important investment points for the current investment environment and investment principles in

mw@dmin February 15, 2018February 15, 2018 Investment Strategies, Market behaviour Read more

Predictions materialised

Predictions materialised

I vividly recall attending an investor feedback session with a hotshot offshore manager whose fund had performed terribly.  After taking some criticism from the hostile audience he totally lost it, raising his voice he stated that “it was only numbers”. 

mw@dmin February 1, 2018February 1, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Dammed if you don’t

Dammed if you don’t

With the US stock market now entering its 9th year in a bull market phase, it’s probably a good idea to reflect on some old age wisdom, which is nicely explained in the following quote; Bull markets are born on

mw@dmin January 18, 2018January 18, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Market irrationality requires cool heads

Market irrationality requires cool heads

“Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy”  Warren Buffett The big financial institutions have just released their economic forecasts for 2018 and what do you know they are extremely bullish with a consensus view of

mw@dmin December 7, 2017December 7, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more
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