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fear driven selling

Last March’s panic selling is a loss one will never recover

Last March’s panic selling is a loss one will never recover

The price of generating real above inflation returns by investing in the share market is accepting the inherent volatility associated with equity investing.   Investors must remember that short-term price volatility is not the risk per se. The risk is how you

mw@dmin February 11, 2021February 11, 2021 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Wholesale buy-in to Covid-19 “spook story” is costly

Wholesale buy-in to Covid-19 “spook story” is costly

I would much rather be writing about something other than Covid-19, but this is clearly the only story in town.  I use the word story purposely not to make light of the pandemic, but as a play on the word

mw@dmin September 3, 2020September 3, 2020 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

The meaning of capitulation

The meaning of capitulation

The investment industry uses some very descriptive words in describing investor behaviour and one of these is capitulation, this is the point when investors throw in the towel. Throwing in the towel is boxing speak for give-up. Picture the towel

mw@dmin March 19, 2020March 19, 2020 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

You have negligible control over markets, so control your emotions

You have negligible control over markets, so control your emotions

At the risk of committing career suicide I would like to admit the following.  I have no idea the affect Trump will have on our share market over the next few months……I can hear the response “What! You don’t know.

mw@dmin March 1, 2018March 1, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Market irrationality requires cool heads

Market irrationality requires cool heads

“Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy”  Warren Buffett The big financial institutions have just released their economic forecasts for 2018 and what do you know they are extremely bullish with a consensus view of

mw@dmin December 7, 2017December 7, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Wide portfolio cushions against volatility

Wide portfolio cushions against volatility

The million-dollar question for South African investors is the exchange rate.  The reason for this is that 50% of the JSE’s overall earnings is now generated from overseas. A weaker rand translates into higher earnings and thus higher share valuations.

mw@dmin October 12, 2017October 12, 2017 Market behaviour, Market Drivers, Uncategorized Read more

Be rational, not biased, in financial decisions

Be rational, not biased, in financial decisions

A bias is defined as; “Not logical or reasonable” “…tendencies to think in certain ways that can lead to systematic deviations from a standard of rationality or good judgment”. Recency Bias refers to our expectation for future returns based on

mw@dmin August 10, 2017August 10, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Prediction, in the end, is mere speculation

Prediction, in the end, is mere speculation

At the risk of committing career suicide I would like to admit the following.  I have no idea the affect Trump will have on our share market over the next few months…..I can hear the response “What! You don’t know.

mw@dmin March 30, 2017July 20, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Defining risk, counter-intuitive thinking

Defining risk, counter-intuitive thinking

Blame it on a mid-life crisis, but I recently acquired a motorcycle much to my mother’s dismay.  I vividly recall the same response from her some 32 years ago when my Dad agreed to me getting a 2nd hand 50cc

mw@dmin February 16, 2017February 16, 2017 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Foreign investment headwind

Foreign investment headwind

It is interesting how Rand weakness seems to negatively affect our collective psyche and overall sentiment, notwithstanding that most South Africans probably don’t understand the full implications of currency weakness.   Maybe it’s our fears of becoming a banana republic like

mw@dmin December 1, 2016December 1, 2016 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more
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