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Market behaviour

The meaning of capitulation

The meaning of capitulation

The investment industry uses some very descriptive words in describing investor behaviour and one of these is capitulation, this is the point when investors throw in the towel. Throwing in the towel is boxing speak for give-up. Picture the towel

mw@dmin March 19, 2020March 19, 2020 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Warning lights lead to change

Warning lights lead to change

This week’s article is an extract from a reply to a client’s question on whether he should reduce his share exposure or move to a balanced portfolio strategy given several “warning lights” on the horizon.   The easiest way to

mw@dmin March 5, 2020March 5, 2020 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Damned if you don’t … price vs value

Damned if you don’t … price vs value

With the US stock market now entering its 11th year in a bull market, it is probably a good idea to reflect on some old age wisdom, which is nicely explained by the following quote: Bull markets are born on

mw@dmin February 20, 2020February 20, 2020 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Look for long-term investors

Look for long-term investors

The debate on active vs. passive investment strategies is never ending. If you google active vs. passive there are tens and thousands of articles on the topic. For less informed readers, passive investment strategies refer to tracker or index funds,

mw@dmin October 3, 2019October 3, 2019 Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Trade wars lead to MAED

Trade wars lead to MAED

The cold war between Russia and the USA was premised on a critical acronym known as a MAD, which stood for “Mutual Assured Destruction” in reference to the nuclear arsenal of each country and that any hot war between them

mw@dmin September 5, 2019September 5, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Recency Bias can cost you

Recency Bias can cost you

Investing in the JSE All Share Index has become a swear word as the herd flee our shores in favour of investing offshore and it is hard to make a case for investing locally given all the bad news and

mw@dmin August 8, 2019August 8, 2019 Investment Risk, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Storytelling can be misleading

Storytelling can be misleading

In the bestselling book Homo Sapiens Yuval Harari theorized that the success of humankind can be directly ascribed to our ability to tells stories, which we could all believe in and collectively work towards, thus achieving as a common goal.

mw@dmin June 13, 2019June 13, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Market may be nearing inflection point

Market may be nearing inflection point

The endless debate passive vs. active.   I am yet to be convinced passive investing has now replaced active management as the gold standard, notwithstanding and possibly because this has become such a mainstream view.  i.e. the herd are investing zillions

mw@dmin April 18, 2019April 18, 2019 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Investment yarns result in high prices and lousy returns

Investment yarns result in high prices and lousy returns

According the author of the award-winning book Homo Sapiens the success of humankind over other species came from the ability to work together and the secret to this togetherness came from the ability to tell stories, which we could all

mw@dmin March 7, 2019March 7, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Investing; Simple but never Easy

Investing; Simple but never Easy

The illustration below explains how to calculate the expected return from a share or the overall market, which is represented by the straight upward sloping line in the chart and is simply the current dividend yield + expected real (above

mw@dmin February 7, 2019February 7, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more
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