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Market Drivers

The meaning of capitulation

The meaning of capitulation

The investment industry uses some very descriptive words in describing investor behaviour and one of these is capitulation, this is the point when investors throw in the towel. Throwing in the towel is boxing speak for give-up. Picture the towel

mw@dmin March 19, 2020March 19, 2020 Investment Risk, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Warning lights lead to change

Warning lights lead to change

This week’s article is an extract from a reply to a client’s question on whether he should reduce his share exposure or move to a balanced portfolio strategy given several “warning lights” on the horizon.   The easiest way to

mw@dmin March 5, 2020March 5, 2020 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Damned if you don’t … price vs value

Damned if you don’t … price vs value

With the US stock market now entering its 11th year in a bull market, it is probably a good idea to reflect on some old age wisdom, which is nicely explained by the following quote: Bull markets are born on

mw@dmin February 20, 2020February 20, 2020 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Trade wars lead to MAED

Trade wars lead to MAED

The cold war between Russia and the USA was premised on a critical acronym known as a MAD, which stood for “Mutual Assured Destruction” in reference to the nuclear arsenal of each country and that any hot war between them

mw@dmin September 5, 2019September 5, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Recency Bias can cost you

Recency Bias can cost you

Investing in the JSE All Share Index has become a swear word as the herd flee our shores in favour of investing offshore and it is hard to make a case for investing locally given all the bad news and

mw@dmin August 8, 2019August 8, 2019 Investment Risk, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Capitulation

Capitulation

“Sell in May and go away!” This adage would have worked well for you this year. The Cambridge English Dictionary defines the meaning of Capitulation as either of the following 1. “to accept defeat, or to give up or give

mw@dmin May 30, 2019May 30, 2019 Investment Strategies, Market Drivers Read more

Selling equities and investing in cash now is rash, wait patiently

Selling equities and investing in cash now is rash, wait patiently

The doldrums are noted for calm periods around the equator when the winds disappear trapping sail-powered boats for days or even weeks.   There are many stories told of sailors going completely crazy while desperately hoping for the wind whilst

mw@dmin May 16, 2019May 16, 2019 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Market may be nearing inflection point

Market may be nearing inflection point

The endless debate passive vs. active.   I am yet to be convinced passive investing has now replaced active management as the gold standard, notwithstanding and possibly because this has become such a mainstream view.  i.e. the herd are investing zillions

mw@dmin April 18, 2019April 18, 2019 Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Investment yarns result in high prices and lousy returns

Investment yarns result in high prices and lousy returns

According the author of the award-winning book Homo Sapiens the success of humankind over other species came from the ability to work together and the secret to this togetherness came from the ability to tell stories, which we could all

mw@dmin March 7, 2019March 7, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Make room for ambiguity too

Make room for ambiguity too

As investors we hate ambiguity, we want certainty, which is why we dislike the idea of randomness.    We want our advisors / managers to know exactly what is going on.  Financial experts must speak confidently and explain what is driving

mw@dmin January 24, 2019January 24, 2019 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more
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