Risk is one of, if not the most misunderstood concept when it comes to proper investing.   I hope to remove some of the confusion around the concept of risk by firstly covering the various terms used to describe risk and then very importantly the definition of risk by differentiating between permanent loss of capital and temporary loss of capital.

The three terms typically used in financial planning to describe risk are 1) Risk Appetite; 2) Risk Capacity and 3) Risk Budget:

  • Risk Appetite = The risk you are willing to accept in pursuit of superior returns
  • Risk Capacity = The risk you can afford to take
  • Risk Budget = The required risk to provide for the objective

Risk appetite is a subjective emotionally based personal risk choice influenced by past investment experience, common fears and possibly investment ignorance. i.e.  An investor may only want to invest in cash after experiencing a loss in the markets.

Risk capacity is an assessment of the amount of risk an investor can take based on investment principles like age, investment horizon and objectives.  i.e. A young person should take maximum risk because they have a very long investment horizon and require the best growth.

Risk budget is the mathematical assessment / calculation of the amount of risk or rather exposure to risk assets required to achieve the returns needed to provide for the objective.

Practically explained; the client consults with a Certified Financial Planner (CFP®) who determines the required risk budget to provide for the client’s objectives using long-term historical asset class returns.   The risk budget is then checked against the client’s risk capacity to ensure there is no conflict.  You could have a situation where the client’s objectives are too great for the funds available necessitating an unsuitably high risk budget for the client’s risk capacity.

The final discussion around risk focuses on the client’s personal risk tolerance or risk appetite.   Important to understand this is the “tail of the dog” and that the “tail” should never wag the dog.  In other word’s an appropriate risk budget should not be changed to match a client risk appetite unless the client understands the affect it will have on the objectives i.e. a lower risk budget = lower returns = lower objectives. Basic online robo-advice seeks to match a clients’ risk profile with the matching risk budget as required by the Act, however this akin to telling the doctor what is wrong with you and prescribing your own medicine.

An investors personal risk tolerance is important to ensure the investor can stomach the volatility associated with equity investing.  Important to differentiate risk between permanent loss of capital and temporary loss of capital associated with short-term volatility.  Temporary losses always recover given time, the only risk of losing money is if the investor panics and sells, thus realising the paper loss.  For this reason, it is important to ensure the investors personal risk appetite and risk budget are in line.  If not then either the clients attitude towards risk must change or the objectives and risk budget must be reduced.   Investors must be honest with themselves, it also helps to have a good financial adviser who can provide rational advice during volatile markets ensuring the investor doesn’t panic and sticks to the investment plan.

 

Mark Williams
Mcomm, CFP®, HdipTax
T. 021-851 3746
Email. service@synfin.co.za

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One’s risk tolerance = capacity for volatile equity investing – 8 June 2017